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Bandwagon Fallacy: Why 'Everyone Does It' Isn't an Argument

Also called: appeal to popularity, ad populum, argumentum ad populum, appeal to the people

Updated · 4 min read · 4 sources

The short answer

The bandwagon fallacy treats something as true, good or acceptable because many people believe it or do it: 'Everyone in my class has a phone.' Popularity can be a useful hint, but it isn't evidence that a claim is correct or that a choice is right for you. It's also called the appeal to popularity or argumentum ad populum.

What is the bandwagon fallacy?

The bandwagon fallacy argues from numbers: lots of people think it, so it's true; lots of people do it, so it's fine. The name comes from the old image of a parade wagon that people jump onto because it's where the crowd is going. Logic textbooks call it ad populum, an appeal to the people.

Crowds can be right, and often are. But what makes a claim true is the evidence, not the headcount. Plenty of things everyone believed have turned out to be wrong, and plenty of things nearly everyone does are bad ideas for a particular family, couple or person.

'Everybody does it': bandwagon arguments at home

Every parent of a teenager knows the opening line: 'Everyone else is allowed to.' It's the bandwagon in its purest form, and it's usually also a hasty generalization, since 'everyone' tends to mean three friends. Adults do it too. 'All our friends are engaged by now.' 'Every couple we know splits the bills fifty-fifty.' 'Nobody irons anymore.'

Social media makes the comparison constant, and highly selective. You see the vacation and the anniversary post, not the argument in the car on the way there. Arguing about what 'everyone' does tends to turn a decision about your life into a contest with an imaginary average.

Bandwagon Fallacy examples

A phone at elevenParent and teen
Mila
Everyone in my class has a phone. I'm the only one who doesn't.
Mom
Everyone? Tell me what it's like not having one. Is it the group chats?
Mila
They plan everything there, and I find out late.
What's happening: 'Everyone has one' isn't a reason by itself, and it's probably an exaggeration. Mom skips the debate about numbers and finds the real issue, which is worth solving.
The engagement timelineCouple
Chris
All our friends are engaged by now. We're way behind.
Pat
Are we behind, or just on our own schedule? What do you want for us?
What's happening: What friends are doing says nothing about whether this couple is ready. Pat moves the conversation from the crowd to the two of them.
The industry standardCoworkers
Ken
Every company our size uses that CRM. We should switch.
Lucia
Maybe there's a reason. What does it do that ours doesn't, and what would switching cost?
What's happening: Popularity is a hint that the tool might be good, and Lucia treats it that way: as a reason to look for evidence, not as the evidence.

When popularity is a fair reason

Popularity isn't always irrelevant. It counts as evidence in a few situations:

Questions about norms
If the argument is whether something is rude, how most people see it is part of the answer. Etiquette is, by definition, about shared expectations.
Coordination
Driving on the right, using the app the whole family has, picking the restaurant most of the group can reach. Here going with the crowd is the point.
A hint worth checking
If thousands of people rely on a product, that's a reason to look at why. It's a starting point for evidence, not a substitute for it.
Social cost
For a teenager, being the only one without something can carry a real social cost. That's a fair reason to weigh, even though 'everyone has one' isn't a reason on its own.

Bandwagon fallacy examples

Listen for 'everyone', 'nobody', 'most people' and 'normal' carrying the argument:

  • 'Everyone's kids have phones by eleven.'
  • 'Nobody cooks from scratch anymore.'
  • 'Most couples our age already own a house.'
  • 'Every company uses this software, so it must be the best.'
  • 'This video has ten million views, so it's probably true.'

How to respond to a bandwagon argument

Two questions do most of the work. First: is it actually true that everyone does it? Often it isn't, and finding that out gently takes the pressure off. Second: even if it is, does that make it right for us? What other people choose is useful information, not a decision.

Then look for the real reason underneath. A teen who says everyone has a phone may be telling you they feel left out of the group chat. A partner who says all your friends are engaged may be telling you they want to talk about the future. Those are real conversations, and they go better than arguing about the statistics. They come up a lot in arguments with parents.

Bandwagon arguments are close cousins of the appeal to authority: one leans on a crowd, the other on a famous name. If you'd like to check whether a reply leaned on 'everyone' instead of a reason, our free argument judge flags it.

What to say

When 'everyone' is the whole argument
Is it really everyone? And even if it is, I'd like to hear why it matters to you.
When comparisons take over
What other people do is worth knowing. What do we actually want?
When popularity might mean something
If lots of people use it, there might be a good reason. Let's find out what it is.
When the real issue is feeling left out
I get not wanting to be the only one. Let's talk about that part.

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Questions people ask

What is an example of the bandwagon fallacy?

'Everybody is buying this stock, so it's a smart investment.' Lots of buyers don't show the stock is a good value; crowds can be wrong, especially about prices.

What does ad populum mean?

Argumentum ad populum is Latin for 'argument to the people'. It's the formal name for arguing that something is true or right because it's popular.

Is popularity ever good evidence?

Sometimes. For questions about social norms or coordination, what most people do is relevant. For questions of fact, popularity is at most a hint to check the evidence.

What is the difference between the bandwagon fallacy and the bandwagon effect?

The bandwagon effect is the psychological tendency to adopt beliefs or behaviors because others have. The bandwagon fallacy is the argument that uses that popularity as a reason.

Sources

  1. Purdue OWL: Logical Fallacies (ad populum, bandwagon appeal)
  2. Excelsior Online Writing Lab: Bandwagon
  3. The Fallacy Files: Bandwagon Fallacy
  4. Wikipedia: Argumentum ad populum

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